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This week: The New York Times Best Seller List Edited by: Jeff More Newsletters By This Editor
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"The two most engaging powers of an author are to make
new things familiar, and to make familiar things new."
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Trivia of the Week: The New York Times Best Seller List has been published since October 12, 1931.
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THE NEW YORK TIMES BEST SELLER LIST
Many authors, readers, and businesses use The New York Times Best Seller List as a barometer, if not the barometer of publishing success. Having a New York Times Best Seller book can vault an author out of obscurity and into the national or even international spotlight. An author may even have significant monetary bonuses attached to their placement on the NYT Best Seller List. The List is what often determines which books go up front at a bookstore (or are even offered for sale at all in the case of smaller retailers), and can even determine which authors are offered speaking engagements or other opportunities for publicity.
There's no question that the New York Times Best Seller List is a powerful presence in the publishing world.
But how accurate is it?
In order to answer that question, you have to know how the NYT Best Seller List is calculated. And, unfortunately, the New York Times has long held that the exact way they tabulate their results is classified as a "trade secret" and will not divulge the particulars. What we do know, however, is that placement on the list is generally determined by editors who look at surveys and sales reports from a sample of what's currently believed to be over 4,000 book retailers and wholesalers.
On the surface, that might seem like a pretty robust system for determining what's selling. Then again, with the money and prestige on the line, it's not surprising that some people might start trying to game the system in order to maximize their chances of making their books best sellers. Over the years, the List has been the subject of several criticisms, including:
Double Counting. Since the List takes into account both wholesalers and retailers, there's a potential for a book to be double counted. If a wholesaler counts a book it purchased from the publisher at the beginning of the week, and that book is then forwarded to a retailer and sold, if both the wholesaler and retailer are one of the List's sources, that book would be recorded as two sales for the week instead of one.
Manipulation. Where double counting is more of an unintentional error related to the format of the List, there are plenty of examples where publishers, authors, and interested third parties have deliberately tried to influence the list. Ranging from bribing booksellers to fudge numbers to authors buying large quantities of their own books, there are plenty of examples of people who have tried to manufacture a best seller. One company, ResultSource, even centers its business around campaigning for specific results, such as getting a book on the NYT Best Seller List. Pastor Mark Driscoll, for example, paid $200,000 to guarantee his book a spot on the best seller list. ResultSource then arranged to have 11,000 copies of the book purchased in one week from strategically-selected retailers and wholesalers, which were enough weekly sales to ensure a No. 1 debut for Driscoll's book, Real Marriage.
The New York Times stands by the validity of the list. When they uncover evidence of tampering with the list, they are quick to respond. In July 2015, for example, Presidential candidate Ted Cruz's book A Time For Truth was excluded from the NYT Best Seller List after it was revealed that the majority of the book's sales were from strategic bulk purchases to artificially increase sales. But The New York Times can't police everyone all the time, and with big marketing companies like ResultSource constantly looking for new ways to game the system and ensure their clients' goals are met, it's easy to see validity to the criticism that placement on the New York Times Best Seller List can be bought in one way or another.
Stanford Business School performed an analysis that showed the majority of book buyers use the NYT Best Seller list as a way of determining what's worth reading, and that lesser-known writers are far more likely to derive a benefit from appearing on the list than established authors whose audiences will buy their books no matter what. Add to that the fact that the NYT Best Seller List is often a self-fulfilling prophecy (the preferential treatment by most retailers and the exclusive stocking of best sellers by smaller retailers like supermarkets and airports), and the fact that best seller status is a huge marketing tool even after your book has fallen off the list. Like 'Academy Award winner [NAME],' the 'New York Times Best Selling author [NAME]' is a label you can slap on everything you write from that point on, even if you only spent a week on the list. With all of this on the line, it's easy to see how someone might think it's worth investing a bit of money in themselves by either buying lots of copies of their own book, or paying a company like ResultSource to get them a placement on the List.
So let's go back to the original question. How accurate is The New York Times Best Seller List? I think the honest answer is "not very," at least if you're looking for objective and accurate sales data. It's even been proven several times over that placement on the NYT Best Seller List is not necessarily a guarantee of overall sales potential. Since the List is calculated on a weekly basis, it's entirely possible that a book that never makes the List can outsell one that has a few heavy weeks of sales that causes it to make the List. For example, a celebrity who writes a memoir might see tens of thousands of copies sell for a few weeks, but then could drop dramatically to only hundreds of copies a week when they're no longer newsworthy... and could easily be out-earned by an author who steadily sells a few thousand copies a week for several months, which is not enough to make the list, but would total more copies sold and therefore higher royalties earned over the life of the book.
The NYT Best Seller List is still a valuable resource and absolutely an asset for writers, especially ones who are trying to reach a mass audience. But it's not exactly a flawless system, and it is possible for enterprising authors and companies to game the system to ensure their books land on the list. So take the New York Times Best Seller List with a grain of salt, and don't be afraid to venture off the list when looking for reading material of your own. There's some great stuff out there that may not necessarily be reflected in the weekly numbers of a list everyone's trying to get on.
Until next time,
Jeff
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EXCERPT: Everyone wonders about stuff. Even after you've grown up, there's still always stuff that you wish you could know . . . secrets. It might not necessarily be Santa Claus anymore, but you'll always want to know things. It's something in human nature, along with its counterpart truth: there are always going be things being kept from you.
EXCERPT: I have arrived at my daughter IsabelleĆ¢'s apt. I am helping her move. She opened the front door, and in the middle of all the boxes and surrounding things lying around there stood her red horse hair couch. I plunked down in the middle of the couch, it was still scratchy. I am remembering how she came by this funky old couch. It's red velvet colored horse hair fabric which is rough, with wooden trim on the front sides and along the bottom. It is larger than most couches and styled from the late 1890's. It looks like it came right out of a movie set. It has 3 large cushions across, and when you sit down you sink right into the innards. Relaxing as best I could on this scratchy fabric, my memory starts to play as to how she came by this lump of furniture.
EXCERPT: Wax dripped and congealed on the stone floors; the candles guttered and flared throwing evil shadows as the storm outside hurled its force against the castle walls. It was not a good omen, if one believed in such things. Gregor, hereditary Burggraf of Rozbit Kostka, did not believe in omens. He did, however, believe in witches.
EXCERPT: When Eddie left home for the very first time it was a terrifying experience for him. He was moving away from the place he grew up in to a strange place he had never seen before. This strange place was North Town Collage, which is located in North Town Ontario. Eddie was going there for two years.
EXCERPT: Winter was over, and dawn was breaking. Water dripped, dropped, and the old woman's dream began to come apart.
She was a very old woman, and she'd been dreaming of a gull as big as a man, then bigger. The gull was the world, and the world was a gull. The largest gray gull ever with a beak as big as a merchant ship's boom and wings that dried the oceans to dust when they flapped. The gull looked with eyes like suns that opened into an infinite place at the center of which spun a mountain-sized brain, with lightning forks and floating faces, but before the old woman could make those faces out, the dream ended.
She was back in the cabin again, awake, alive again, and alone. She had never made much of dreams, but this felt different. Her heart raced painfully.
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Feedback from my last newsletter about anthologies and collections:
tebbuch writes: "In the past I reviewed books for specific titled magazines on a regular basis and got paid for it. Initially the reviews were unsolicited then welcomed. The result was that publishers of very expensive books asked me to review their latest off the press. I ended up with a large collection of books which were a valuable financial addition."
Great job on turning your reviewing into a rewarding experience for both yourself and the reader!
DB Cooper writes: "I got an anthology published by PublishAmerica. I didn't make anything but I also didn't pay anything to get published. I'm ecstatic!"
Congratulations on being published! While the money is always nice, sometimes just having the honor of being published is enough. Or at least a good start.
vada writes: "Another great newsletter, Jeff. I am printing this one out. Have been thinking of doing a short story collection at some point. Vada"
Thanks for writing in, and good luck with your story collection!
Dandelion Man writes: "I am thinking about putting four of my novels together in a collection (Omnibus?). I would appreciate any thoughts on a possible title.
the novels include:
1-- Dandelion Man - the four loves
2-- Pharmaceutical
3-- Heaven Sent
4-- The Inn at Heron's Bay
The first three form a trilogy, the last one is a stand alone although it is in the same vein. This is not a complete collection of my works, only selected novels.
Any thoughts would be appreciated."
Without knowing much about the content of the stories, and strictly looking at the titles alone, I'm partial to THE INN AT HERON'S BAY. It piques my interest and has a specificity that that others don't. As long as that title ties into the stories or has implied meaning, my choice would be that one.
From a previous newsletter about reading the hits and classics in your genre of choice ("For Authors Newsletter (January 20, 2016)" ):
Elfin Dragon-finally published writes: "Regarding "Reading the Hits & the Classics". Wonderful newsletter! My father got me reading early in life with Piers Anthony & Robert Aspirin. True Xanth and Myth series are on the light side for fantasy but what can you expect for first time readers? But I soon moved up to Heinlein, Scott Card, Asimov, Lackey, Mary Brown and many others. Though I love to write fantasy I love to read just about everything. I've found that no matter what I read there are many authors which can show me different ways of writing what I like to write. So I always tell people don't be afraid to expand your mind. You might find another genre you enjoy. "
I love reading different genres too. There's definitely something to be gained from reading the genre that you also write, but changing things up every once in a while is good too. I'm not sure I'd ever write historical fiction, novel-length horror, or nonfiction... but I sure enjoy reading them every now and then.
From a previous newsletter about idea farming ("For Authors Newsletter (December 23, 2015)" ):
Elfin Dragon-finally published writes: "Thank you for writing about idea farming. I, myself, recently changed my phone over to a Samsung Note5 just so I could jot down ideas or whole poems as they came to me. I'm often without notebook while shopping. And I've also reintroduced myself to my old hobby of art. Oh I've always drawn with pencil, pen, chalk but now I'm getting into painting. Ideas are wonderful when you have more than one hobby. Whether it be art, sewing, athletics, or anything else. "
I've been using note-taking apps for my smartphone lately. While I often find myself without pen and paper handy, I almost never find myself without my phone. So it made sense to just switch over and get used to taking notes with the thing I always have with me.
From a previous newsletter about writing with a day job ("For Authors Newsletter (November 25, 2015)" ):
Elfin Dragon-finally published writes: "With regards to "Writer With a Day Job" - You're right. Finding time to write can be difficult but not impossible. Lunch time at work, weekends, or even a bit of downtime during the week at home can bring a bit of inspiration. Heck even just running a few errands can do the same. One reason why I've got a phone I can write on. never lets a thought go to waste."
I'm really excited to have discovered a screenwriting app for my phone. It even formats the text and syncs with my desktop so I can write on my phone when I'm out and about, then come home and pick up where I left off on my computer. Technology is pretty amazing these days!
From a previous newsletter about "smart quotes" and coding ("For Authors Newsletter (September 30, 2015)" ):
Elfin Dragon-finally published writes: "I know I'm like, super way behind in reading newsletters - but this one on "smart quotes and dumb coding" is really helpful for me. I plan on putting it in my "how to" folder so I never lose the knowledge. Thanks for the great info. "
You're very welcome! Thankfully a lot of websites are catching this error and developing work-arounds, but it's definitely worth keeping in mind just in case the problem pops up from time to time.
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