Random reflections on the second gulf war. The author is based in Kuwait, Persian Gulf.
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The final episode is an anticlimax. Nine years after the start of the war and this narrative, US troops make their final withdrawal, leaving a country that is still unstable, suffering from sectarian conflicts (no fault of the US of course) and is under Iranian influence. A country that was secular is moving in the direction of religious sectarian politics through 'democracy'. I do not hold the US responsible for the internal problems of Shia-Sunni historical disputes or the larger Saudi(Sunni)-Iran (Shia) middle eastern power equations, but given the 'think tanks' in the US and the brain power of its universities, I would have thought that they would have been aware of the risks of going in directly into Iraq. They were very naive to think that they were going in for 'regime change' and to neutralize 'weapons of mass destruction' that were never found. I have argued and reported against direct intervention in these columns since the war began, and I think the US authorities were naive to underestimate the complexities on the ground. I recall George W Bush declaring victory as soon as US troops reached Baghdad from Kuwait. I wonder what that ' victory' was all about. Was there ever one? Given the Arab Spring all over this part of the world and with dictators falling like nine pins all around and given what we saw in Libya, perhaps it would have been better if, like the Libyans, NATO had provided air cover and allowed Iraqis themselves to overthrow Saddam. But, that's with the benefit of hindsight. In terms of life, the US has lost around 5000 servicemen excluding the toll on other coalition partners. Iraq has had more than 100 000 military and civilian casualties. There have been extremist attacks that have killed innocents in coalition countries like the UK, Italy and Spain. The war has cost the US treasury billions of dollars of tax payers money and has exponentially increased the budget deficit that has added to the financial crisis with the prospect of cut backs on essential government spending at home. As I had said when I had started this thread, war is always a second best solution with the most uncertain of end results. I wonder if it has all been worth it for Americans. Doesn't look like it from the trenches of the Great Recession and the accelerated movement of power from the West to the East. One thing is for certain, the days of preemptive military attacks is perhaps, a thing of the past and finishes with the war in Iraq. ********************************************* News: US President Barack Obama has marked the end of the Iraq war by applauding the "extraordinary achievement" of US troops in a conflict he firmly opposed. In a speech at Fort Bragg in North Carolina, he paid tribute to the soldiers who served and died in the war, and their families. The last US soldiers are expected to withdraw from Iraq within days. Republicans have criticized the pullout citing concerns over Iraq's stability, but most Americans support the move. In Wednesday's speech, President Obama - who owes his presidency in part to his opposition to the Iraq war - hailed the bravery of US troops during the nearly nine-year conflict. “Start Quote "Tomorrow the colours of the United States Forces Iraq, the colors you fought under, will be formally cased in a ceremony in Baghdad," said Mr. Obama, who was on his first visit to Fort Bragg. "Then they'll begin their journey across an ocean back home. "As your commander in chief and on behalf of a grateful nation, I'm proud to finally say these two words - welcome home, welcome home, welcome home," he told thousands of cheering troops in an airplane hangar. Mr Obama announced in October that all US troops would leave Iraq by the end of 2011, a date previously agreed by former President George W Bush in 2008. 'Heads held high' The last combat troops departed in August last year. Mr Obama - who was joined by his wife Michelle, an active veterans' advocate - told the troops the US was leaving Iraq with "heads held high". Some 1.5 million Americans had served in Iraq, nearly 4,500 had died and 30,000 had been wounded, Mr Obama said, adding that "those numbers don't tell the whole story of Iraq". Recalling the roadside bombs and sniper attacks of the insurgency, he said: "Everything that American troops have done in Iraq, all the fighting and dying, bleeding and building, training and partnering, has led us to this moment of success." "The war in Iraq will soon belong to history, and your service belongs to the ages," he added. US troop numbers in Iraq peaked at around 170,000 during the height of the so-called surge strategy in 2007, but as of this week only about 5,500 remain. President Obama has framed the withdrawal as a promise kept from his 2008 election campaign. During his bid for the White House, he stood as the anti-war candidate and emphasized the need to bring troops home and rebuild a troubled economy. The conflict, launched by the Bush administration in March 2003, became hugely unpopular as claims that President Saddam Hussein was hiding weapons of mass destruction and supporting al-Qaeda militants turned out to be untrue. Mr Obama said the war had been "a source of great controversy here at home, with patriots on both sides of the debate". He acknowledged it was not perfect, but said they were leaving behind "a sovereign, stable and self-reliant Iraq, with a representative government that was elected by its people". A strong Iraq? The US president also assured troops he was committed to ensuring veterans find the jobs and resources they need back home. "You stood up for America; now America must stand up for you," he said. The unemployment rate for former US servicemen and women over the past decade has been higher than the national average. The speech was not without political significance. Mr Obama narrowly won North Carolina in the 2008 election. On Tuesday, he was joined by Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri Maliki in Washington as he said the US would continue to support Iraq. However, there are concerns in Washington that Iraq lacks robust political structures or an ability to defend its borders. There are also fears that Iraq could be plunged back into sectarian bloodletting, or be unduly influenced by Iran. Nonetheless, a recent poll by the Pew Research Centre found that 75% of Americans backed the troop withdrawal. Quote: This is more than a little awkward, intellectually. He is papering over the cracks between what he has always thought and what he has to say to the country” Mark Mardell BBC North America editor Analysis Kim Ghattas BBC News, Washington This was a war that Barack Obama never wanted, and now he's brought it to a close. As a state senator, he had called the conflict "dumb". But as commander in chief, he has paid tribute to the sacrifices of the military. In Fort Bragg, he told the troops their fighting and dying had not been in vain. It had led to what he said was this moment of success. They were leaving behind a country that was not perfect but Iraq was now stable, led by its own people. There was no Mission Accomplished banner like the one unfurled by his predecessor, President George W Bush, in May 2003, before the insurgency got under way. But this was almost a victory lap, if only because Mr Obama had promised as a presidential candidate that he would bring all the troops home, and now he has. His critics, however, say the withdrawal is premature and will endanger Iraq's very fragile democracy. |